Hormuz Risk Index: 69/100 — HIGH (October 11, 2026)

 

Today's score: 69/100 — HIGH, down from 74 yesterday as the trailing week's incident count eased.

Breakdown — Flows: 19.8/40 (10.1M barrels a day vs ~20M normal). Tanker rates: 19.6/20 (VLCC ~$1.4M a day). Brent stress: 9.9/15 (Brent $104.72). Incidents: 20/25 (4 in the trailing 7 days, including Saturday's disabling of the Ocean Molica in the Gulf of Oman).

Keep tracking: Hormuz Tracker — https://blog.aryaexplains.com/p/hormuz-tracker.html · Brent Price Today — https://blog.aryaexplains.com/p/brent-price-today.html