Hormuz Risk Index: 70/100 — High (October 12, 2026)

Today's score: 70/100 — High, up slightly from 69 yesterday (score 69.6 vs 69.3) as Brent's rally added price stress. Breakdown — Flows: 19.8/40 (10.1M barrels a day vs ~20M normal). Tanker rates: 19.6/20 (VLCC ~$1.4M a day). Brent stress: 10.2/15 (Brent $105.70, rallied from a $103.35 open). Incidents: 20/25 (4 verified strikes in the trailing 7 days, including the VALTHERA in Hormuz and the PETRO DOLPHIN drone strike at Sohar on October 11).

Keep tracking: Hormuz Tracker — https://blog.aryaexplains.com/p/hormuz-tracker.html · Brent Price Today — https://blog.aryaexplains.com/p/brent-price-today.html